原标题：全球天然气需求将不断增长

中国石化新闻网讯 据3月2日Offshore Energy报道，国际能源咨询公司Xodus Group发布了一份新的分析报告，该报告表明能源市场需要快速转向天然气，以应对不断增长的能源需求。

该公司的报告称，在未来20年里，天然气勘探和生产大约需要20万亿美元。这一预测需要提升天然气生产技术，包括捕获和储存产生的二氧化碳。由于车辆电气化和环境压力，将逐步淘汰煤炭和石油，加速可再生能源生产的增长。

Xodus集团地下业务主管安德鲁·休厄尔(Andrew Sewell)表示:“我们预计石油和煤炭产量将出现前所未有的下降，分析显示，但即使可再生能源的增长速度达到了最强劲的水平，我们仍需要更迅速地转向天然气市场，以满足日益增长的需求。快速启用CCS和其他脱碳技术，以可持续的方式确保天然气的供应将提上世界各国政府和行业的议程。”

Xodus预测，到2040年，原油和煤炭产量将分别降至每年15亿吨油当量和12亿吨油当量。如果政策不发生重大变化，预计整个时期非常规石油和其他液体燃料的使用量将增加，核能也是如此。

王佳晶 摘译自 Offshore Energy

原文如下：

Xodus anticipates unprecedented decline in oil and coal, rise of gas

International energy consultancy Xodus Group has launched a new analysis showing that a rapid pivot to gas would be required to deal with rising global energy demand.

The company’s recent report claimed that approximately $20 trillion would need to be spent on natural gas exploration and production over the next 20 years.

The forecast would require significant advancements in technology to produce the gas responsibly, including carbon capture and storage (CCS) of the carbon dioxide produced.

The scenario also includes the phasing out of coal and oil in response to vehicle electrification and environmental pressures and a rapid and robust increase in renewable production.

Andrew Sewell, director of subsurface at Xodus Group, said: “We are anticipating an unprecedented decline in oil and coal, but even with energy from renewables modeled to the most aggressive increase, our analysis shows that a much more rapid pivot to gas is required to meet increased demand. Securing that gas sustainably by quickly enabling CCS and other decarbonization technologies must move further up the agenda of governments and industries around the world.”

Xodus predicts that crude oil and coal will decline to 1,500 mtoe per year and 1,200 mtoe per year respectively by 2040. Unconventional oil and other liquids are projected to increase over the entire period as is nuclear energy, assuming no major changes in policies.

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